How to Use the ThoroPACE Spotlight Plays Report

Let’s start with some very basic concepts.

We classify early speed horses as Speed Runners or Controlling Speed, depending on the pace dynamics within a race.

Conversely, Stretch Runners are not projected to be near the early pace and typically benefit from faster paces. You may refer to these horses as closers but we prefer the broader term, Stretch Runner.

As you are hopefully aware, ThoroPACE has two primary products within our current offering of Premium Race Analytics Tools. The ThoroPACE Forecast and ThoroPACE Spotlight Plays. Here, we will focus on how the ThoroPACE team uses the Spotlight Plays Report.

How to View Controlling Speed Runners

1. On the Spotlight Play Report, look for runners noted as Controlling Speed.
2. If the pace projection is positive (+0.1 or more), consider a win bet.
3. If the pace projection is negative (-0.1 or less), consider a larger win bet.
4. If the Win $ROI rating is ▲▲, ▲▲▲, or ▲▲▲▲, increase your bet accordingly.
5. If the W/P $ROI rating is ▲▲, ▲▲▲, or ▲▲▲▲, increase your bet accordingly and bet win & place.
6. It’s likely you’ll be shouting “STOP THE RACE!”

How to View Speed Runners getting a Forecasted Favorable Pace

1. On the ThoroPACE Forecast Report, identify speed-favoring races: Dark Blue, Blue or Light Blue (for example – Race 2 at AQU in the image below)
2. Limit yourself to races with just one “likely leader”
3. Using your preferred pace handicapping methods and/or past performances:
   • If the race is Dark Blue, and the ThoroPACE Likely Leader has the highest early pace figure, consider betting this winner to win
   • if the race is Blue, and the ThoroPACE Likely Leader has an early pace figure advantage relative to the likely tracker, (TimeformUS figure with 5 point advantage as an example), consider betting this winner to win
   • if the race is Light Blue, and the ThoroPACE Likely Leader has a significant early pace figure advantage relative to the likely tracker, (TimeformUS figure with 10 point advantage as an example), consider betting this winner to win
4. It’s likely you’ll be shouting “STOP THE RACE!”

How to View Stretch Runners getting a Forecasted Favorable Pace

1. On the Spotlight Play Report, look for runners noted as Stretch Runner Getting Hotter Pace.
2. Consider a win & place bet
3. If the W/P $ROI rating is ▲▲, ▲▲▲, or ▲▲▲▲, increase your bet accordingly
4. If the ThoroPACE Forecast is Light Red, Red or Dark Red, increase accordingly (for example – Race 9 at AQU in the image below)
5. It’s likely you’ll be shouting “GET UP, GET UP!”

How to View Runners getting a Better Post Position

1. On the Spotlight Play Report, look for runners noted as Better Post Today.
2. Consider a win bet
3. If the Win $ROI rating is ▲▲, ▲▲▲, or ▲▲▲▲, increase your bet accordingly.
4. If the W/P $ROI rating is ▲▲, ▲▲▲, or ▲▲▲▲, increase your bet accordingly and bet win & place.

How to View the Vertical Value Spotlight Plays

1. On the Spotlight Play Report, look for runners with ▲▲, ▲▲▲, or ▲▲▲▲ listed under Vertical Value
2. Include the runner on any trifecta or superfecta you’re playing. The more up arrows, the better

How to View the Horizontal Value Spotlight Plays

1. On the Spotlight Play Report, look for runners with ▲▲, ▲▲▲, or ▲▲▲▲ listed under Horizontal Value
2. Include the runner on any Daily Double, Pick 3, Pick 4, Pick 5 or Pick 6 you’re playing. The more up arrows, the better