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ThoroPACE Analysis – 10-27-2022

Tyler | ThoroPACE · October 27, 2022 · Leave a Comment

Let’s take a look at some of the action at Keeneland today.

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If fields stay intact, the following races have pace dynamics that make them good wagering considerations.

Keeneland Race 1:

Pace Forecast: -14.0

Most Likely Leader: #3

The pace is forecasted to be speed favoring, and #3 Words of Wisdom seems the most likely to wire this group.  Seems more suited to dirt.

Keeneland Race 4:

Pace Forecast: -13.0

Most Likely Leader: #6

Another speed favoring pace is forecasted. # 6 Bear Oak is likely to make the top in this starter allowance.

Keeneland Race 5:

Pace Forecast: +24.9
Most Likely Leader: #5, #9

If the #5, #8 and #9 stay in, we forecast a pace that will favor stretch runners.  That points us to #12 Let’s Duet, who closed to win at KEE when given a neutral pace and made up modest ground in a speed favoring KEE 1x after her disastrous start.  The rider must find a way to save some ground.

Keeneland Race 7:

Pace Forecast: +16.5

Most Likely Leader: #2

If the two stretching out (#2 and #7) participate, the pace should be hotter than average. #1 Centurion should save ground and may duplicate his OP maiden breaker.

Keeneland Race 8:

Pace Forecast: +21.5

Most Likely Leader: #8

Another faster-than-average pace is expected here. #5 Personal Best, #9 Lovely Princess and #10 Silky Warrior should be making up ground in the stretch.

*NOTE: ThoroPACE Pace Forecasts range from -35 (best for speed) to +35 (best for stretch runners). Also, our products are updated to reflect scratches as they become available (typically an update of our products occurs around 11AM, 3PM and 6PM ET each day).

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