Let’s take a look at some of the races at Keeneland through the lens of ThoroPACE.
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If fields stay intact, the following races have pace dynamics that make them good wagering opportunities.
Keeneland Race 3:
Pace Forecast: ?
Most Likely Leader: ?
We have no pace forecast due to the presence of first-timers, but #4 Prince of Roses battled on the front end in a race at CD that favored stretch runners.
Keeneland Race 4:
Pace Forecast: +8.7
Most Likely Leaders: #7, #6
We forecast a neutral pace, but that would be an improvement for #6 Treasury. Both of his last two favored stretch runners and he figures to offer value today.
Keeneland Race 7:
Pace Forecast: +35.0
Most Likely Leader: #3
The pace should be fast, and #1 Flown closed strongly into a speed-favoring pace in her latest. The day’s best bet (note cold barn, however). #10 Champagne Lady is a stalk-and-pounce chance here.
Keeneland Race 8:
Pace Forecast: +35.0
Most Likely Leader: #6
Another hot pace is forecasted, but that’s gonna change if the AE’s don’t get in. Check back after scratches to see if it stays that way.
Keeneland Race 9:
Pace Forecast: +18.1
Most Likely Leader: #3
The pace should be at least moderately stretch runner favoring, and #9 Grand Entrance closed into a modest pace at Aqueduct.
*NOTE: ThoroPACE Pace Forecasts range from -35 (best for speed) to +35 (best for stretch runners). Also, our products are updated to reflect scratches as they become available (typically an update of our products occurs around 11AM, 3PM and 6PM ET each day).
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