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ThoroPACE Looks at Keeneland’s 10-09-2022 Card

Tyler | ThoroPACE · October 8, 2022 · Leave a Comment

In coordination with the Soft Launch of ThoroPACE, we wanted to provide some quick thoughts on the Opening Sunday card at Keeneland.

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ThoroPACE Forecast Keeneland Preview for 10/09/2022

If fields stay intact, opening Sunday at Keeneland features three events with Pace Forecasts that are worth digging into –

The opener is forecasted to be a soft pace race.  While races 6 and 8 are forecasted as having a very hot pace.

Keeneland Race 1:

Pace Forecast -16.0

Most Likely Leader: #5 

#5 Guana Cay may be fastest, although we fear a duel with #6 Kimberley Dream.

Keeneland Race 6:

Pace Forecast +35.0
Most Likely Leader: #10

#5 Love Reigns showed the ability to pass a runner in latest, and should be tough to beat.

#10 Castelmola got the perfect wire-to-wire setup in debut, while #11 Private Creed got a hot pace in the KD win.

Keeneland Race 8:

Pace Forecast +34.0
Most Likely Leader: #13

#3 Reckoning Force and #4 Deer District had similar closing trips at KD in a stakes race with a neutral pace.  If the speed stays in, both should be tough.

*NOTE: ThoroPACE Pace Forecasts range from -35 (best for speed) to +35 (best for stretch runners). Also, our products are updated to reflect scratches as they become available (typically an update around 11AM, 3PM and 6PM ET each day).

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