Saturday features one of the more competitive cards of the Keeneland meet thus far. Let’s take a look at some of the races through the lens of ThoroPACE.
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If fields stay intact, the following races have pace dynamics that make them good wagering opportunities.
Keeneland Race 2:
Pace Forecast: none
Most Likely Leader: #8
#8 Curly Larry and Mo has battled in two very tough races for speed of late. Assuming the AE’s don’t get in, we forecast a neutral pace today.
Keeneland Race 3:
Pace Forecast: +12.1
Most Likely Leaders: #5
The pace should be a bit hotter than average, and #2 Forever Home closed into a slightly speed-favoring race in her latest. (Doubles her claiming price.)
Keeneland Race 8:
Pace Forecast: -5.2
Most Likely Leader: #7
#7 Rockie Causeway seems to be the controlling speed in here, and the turn back in distance can only help. She’s also taking on a field of 3YO fillies.
Keeneland Race 9:
Pace Forecast: none
Most Likely Leader: ?
Both #2 Gina Romantica and #3 She’s Gone closed into speed-favoring races in their latest efforts. The latter gets the nod: she hasn’t gotten a stretch runner favoring pace this year and the 30/1 morning line may hold up given the major jump in class.
There’s no ThoroPACE Forecast for this race due to the European import. That said, it appears that she may add to the pace which only benefits the pair above.
*NOTE: ThoroPACE Pace Forecasts range from -35 (best for speed) to +35 (best for stretch runners). Also, our products are updated to reflect scratches as they become available (typically an update of our products occurs around 11AM, 3PM and 6PM ET each day).
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