In coordination with the Soft Launch of ThoroPACE, we wanted to provide some quick thoughts on the opening day card at Keeneland.
![](https://www.thoropace.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/ThoroPACE-Forecast-Graphic-KEE.png)
If fields stay intact, opening day at Keeneland features four events with Pace Forecasts favoring stretch runners:
Keeneland Race 1:
Pace Forecast +20.6
Most Likely Leaders: #5, #6
#2 Sounion exits a slow-paced affair in which he closed just a bit late. Takes a major drop.
#8 Riverboat Gambler also exits a slow pace affair and also drops in class.
Keeneland Race 5:
Pace Forecast +29.6
Most Likely Leader: #6
#2 Miss Mattie B is 0 for 4 on dirt, but three of those races were Graded Stakes. Closed considerable ground at Kentucky Downs in last.
Keeneland Race 8:
Pace Forecast +35.0
Most Likely Leader: #8
#3 Delight may work out a stalking trip. She did so in the maiden breaker and pounced despite the dawdling pace.
Keeneland Race 9:
Pace Forecast +32.7
Most Likely Leader: #1
#2 Chop Chop has earned back her purchase price, and then some, in just two starts. In both races, she stalked a modest pace and finished strong. Does he handle dirt?
#12 Take Charge Briana made an impressive last-to-first move to break her maiden at Toga. She was hindered by a very slow pace in her prior try.
*NOTE: ThoroPACE Pace Forecasts range from -35 (best for speed) to +35 (best for stretch runners). Also, our products are updated to reflect scratches as they become available (typically an update around 11AM, 3PM and 6PM ET each day).
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