In coordination with the Soft Launch of ThoroPACE, we wanted to provide some quick thoughts on the opening day card at Keeneland.
If fields stay intact, opening day at Keeneland features four events with Pace Forecasts favoring stretch runners:
Keeneland Race 1:
Pace Forecast +20.6
Most Likely Leaders: #5, #6
#2 Sounion exits a slow-paced affair in which he closed just a bit late. Takes a major drop.
#8 Riverboat Gambler also exits a slow pace affair and also drops in class.
Keeneland Race 5:
Pace Forecast +29.6
Most Likely Leader: #6
#2 Miss Mattie B is 0 for 4 on dirt, but three of those races were Graded Stakes. Closed considerable ground at Kentucky Downs in last.
Keeneland Race 8:
Pace Forecast +35.0
Most Likely Leader: #8
#3 Delight may work out a stalking trip. She did so in the maiden breaker and pounced despite the dawdling pace.
Keeneland Race 9:
Pace Forecast +32.7
Most Likely Leader: #1
#2 Chop Chop has earned back her purchase price, and then some, in just two starts. In both races, she stalked a modest pace and finished strong. Does he handle dirt?
#12 Take Charge Briana made an impressive last-to-first move to break her maiden at Toga. She was hindered by a very slow pace in her prior try.
*NOTE: ThoroPACE Pace Forecasts range from -35 (best for speed) to +35 (best for stretch runners). Also, our products are updated to reflect scratches as they become available (typically an update around 11AM, 3PM and 6PM ET each day).